Overview
The logistics environment across the Middle East remains highly dynamic and volatile, driven by ongoing geopolitical sensitivities, fluctuating fuel costs, and port congestion in key corridors. Market conditions continue to shift on a near-daily basis, making long-term rate commitments challenging.
UAE (Jebel Ali / Khalifa Port / Land Transport)
- Port Operations: Generally stable; however, intermittent congestion reported at Jebel Ali during peak vessel windows.
- Customs Clearance: No major regulatory changes, but inspections have slightly increased for sensitive cargo.
- Land Transport:
- Trailer availability remains tight, especially for low beds and heavy equipment.
- Rates are fluctuating frequently, with transporters reluctant to commit beyond short validity (24–48 hrs).
- Weather Impact: Previous disruptions due to adverse weather have mosly normalized, though backlog clearance is ongoing.
- Sea - Import : Mostly from Khor fakkan / Fujairah.
- Sea - Export: Mostly from OMAN / KSA.
- Air Import / Export – Stable via DXB/DWC.
Saudi Arabia (KSA)
- Cross-Border (KSA–UAE):
- Border movements remain slow, particularly at Al Batha.
- Documentation accuracy (especially COO, HS codes) is being strictly enforced.
- Transport Market:
- High demand for project cargo movements continues.
- Heavy lift and oversized cargo transport rates remain elevated.
- Vision 2030 Projects: Sustained infrastructure activity is keeping logistics demand strong.
- Sea – Import / Export : Mostly via Jeddah / Yanbu.
- Air Import / Export – Stable via JED/RUH.
Qatar / Oman / Kuwait
- Qatar:
- Sea – Import / Export : Mostly via Jeddah.
- Air Import / Export – Intermittent via DOH/JED.
- Road to GCC – No major impact
- Oman:
- Sea – Import / Export : Mostly via Duqm/ Salalah/Sohar.
- Air Import / Export – Stable via MCT.
- Road to GCC – No major impact
- Kuwait: Minor delays in customs clearance; otherwise stable.
- Sea – Import / Export : Mostly via Jeddah.
- Air Import / Export – Intermittent via KWI.
- Road to GCC – No major impact
Sea Freight Market
- Far east to Middle east via Khor fakkan /Fujairah / Sohar / Jeddah.
- Middle to Europe & Far east via Oman ports & Jeddah port, KSA.
- Freight rates remain volatile, with carriers adjusting pricing frequently.
- Blank sailings and schedule reliability issues persist on certain trade lanes.
- Equipment availability (especially flat racks / open tops) remains constrained for OOG cargo.
Air Freight Market
- Capacity remains tight but stable.
- Rates are elevated compared to historical averages, especially for urgent and DG cargo.
- Last-minute mode shifts (sea → air) remain difficult due to export licensing and space constraints.
Key Risks & Challenges
- Geopolitical uncertainties impacting routing and insurance premiums
- Frequent rate fluctuations (daily/weekly changes)
- Equipment shortages for project and OOG cargo
- Border delays due to stricter compliance checks
- Limited transporter commitment for long-term contracts
Mid-Term Outlook (3–6 Months)
- Gradual Rate Stabilization (Conditional): Rates may begin to stabilize slightly; however, this is highly dependent on geopolitical developments and fuel price trends. Significant volatility will likely persist in project cargo segments.
- Sustained High Demand in KSA: Ongoing Vision 2030 mega projects will continue to drive strong demand for heavy transport, cranes, and specialized equipment, keeping rates firm.
- Improved Equipment Availability (Limited): Some easing expected in trailer and equipment shortages, but critical assets (lowbeds, SPMTs, OOG equipment) will remain constrained.
- Shift in Routing Strategies: Increased utilization of Oman / KSA (Sohar/Duqm/ Jeddah) and alternative corridors to mitigate congestion and border delays.
- Digitalization & Compliance: Authorities across the region are expected to implement stricter documentation checks and digital tracking, leading to better transparency but potentially longer processing times initially.
- Air Freight Softening (Slight): If capacity improves, air freight rates may soften marginally; however, they will remain above pre-2024 levels.
Outlook (Short-Term)
- Market expected to remain unstable in the short term
- Rates likely to continue fluctuating with no firm stabilization timeline
- Advance planning and flexible execution will be critical for successful shipments
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CONTACT US
We will continue monitoring the situation closely and provide further updates as operational conditions evolve.
Please contact our experts for further advice. We will keep you closely informed.
Thorsten Diephaus
Global Head Container Freight Procurement
P: +49 40 3233550M: +49 173 701 8158
E: thorsten.diephaus@bertling.com
Janine Seemke
Global Head of Airfreight
P: +49 40 32335554M:+49 173 3893139
E: janine.seemke@bertling.com